Pitch McSinker and Matt Joyce

Dripping with sweat, he headed back to his corner. He had taken another beating this round, and his trainer and supporters alike began to grow worrisome. He had never gone through a stretch like this before, succumbing to three straight rounds of bludgeoning. A shot to the head here, a shot to the ribs there. He was struggling to find any sort of rhythm in this particular fight. Could it his new home ring? Could it be that he had just lost it? His trainer, equipped with no better options, kept running him out there to try it again. Fortunately for him this was a twelve round fight–fortunately for his team the fight was only quarter over.

It wasn’t always like this for the southpaw. Joyce was always handled with care and had his opponents hand picked for him. He rarely ever fought against other lefties, as his trainers knew too well of his struggles in the past with them. He had been brilliant against righties in his eight year career–22% better than the average southpaw, in fact. He had shown a level of patience that allowed him to pick his spots and attack when he felt he could. And when he attacked, he crushed. He connected on hard punches over 31% of the time and peppered his opponents with medium strengthed jabs at a 50% clip. He hit you. He hit you hard and you didn’t forget about it. They called him “Sweet Swingin” mainly due to his dominance of right handed fighters.

However, for whatever reason, it had been different in this particular bout thus far. His opponent, Pitch McSinker, was really giving him all that he could handle. Against similar McSinker types in other fights, Joyce really had no problems. He had shown above average results in hit rate (.292) and damage per hit rate (.182) while actually knocking twenty other similar fighters out of the ring completely. He knew how to do damage against this type of fighter, but why wasn’t it working this time?

Joyce was clueless. He couldn’t comprehend why he was getting pounded. Joyce was actually swinging three percent more than he had in his first seven seasons, and whiffing two percent less. Sure, he was reaching for punches a little more than usual, but when McSinker danced into a zone Joyce could strike, Joyce was being ultra aggressive. He was swinging in better circumstances, he just wasn’t able to generate any power on his punches against McSinker.

Further compounding the problem, it seemed as though he was getting unlucky with his connected punches. Against fighters like Pitch McSinker in the past fights, Joyce usually had a positive outcome on hits about 30% of the time. In this fight, through two rounds, Joyce had a meager positive outcome percentage of just ten. Often, when your positive punch percentage drops that low, a change in swing pattern can be detected. However, Joyce was swinging with the same punch location percentages against McSinker that he always had. Through a quarter of the fight, it just hadn’t been his night.

Lucky for Joyce, however, is that all of the skills he’s showcasing in the ring still point towards winning by round twelve. He might not have as much success as he did in his previous years, yet most indicators of a successful fighter as still being utilized. While the judges have scored the first three rounds in favor of McSinker, it would not be surprising to anybody if Joyce was able to turn it around quickly.

Checking In: 28 Games Later

Photo Courtesy of Box18Prod
Photo Courtesy of Box18Prod
ANAHEIM – Last time we spoke, the Angels had found themselves in last place in the AL West with a 2-4 record through the first 6 games of the season. They trailed all four of their division opponents by at least half a game in a division which saw only two teams (Seattle & Houston) make it through their first two series with a record of .500 (3-3).

Fans were already giving up on the Halos: writing them off as a failure, a team with no shot of making the postseason.

Yes, tempers were high and morale was low for a fan base – and a team – which looked to build on the success they had achieved in 2014.

Since then, the Angels have gone 11-11 to remain two games under .500 on the season at 13-15. While this certainly wasn’t the outcome that anyone in Anaheim wanted or expected, the team has benefitted from subpar play from the rest of the AL West teams not named the Houston Astros.

After entering the season with World Series aspirations, the Seattle Mariners, 11-17, sit dead last in the division with the second worst record in the American League (Cleveland 10-16). Oakland, 12-18, has been unable to find their footing after their epic collapse last season as they lead Seattle by just .007 points in the standings. And Texas…well, to borrow a line from Dennis Green, they are who we thought they were. The former division powerhouse sits 6.5 games out of first place with a record of 11-16.

Houston, leading the division at 18-10, currently holds a five game lead over the Angels. The Astros had gone on a tear as of late, winning 14 of 15 games including 10 in a row, before being swept at home by their Lone Star State rivals.

With a four-game series against Houston opening up tonight in Anaheim, the Angels might be catching the division leaders at just the right time. While somewhat unlikely to happen – the Astros will start Collin McHugh (4-0, 3.41) tonight and Dallas Keuchel (3-0, 0.80) on Saturday – a sweep against Houston would leave the Halos just one game back in the standings by the time Colorado (11-15) rolls into town next Tuesday.

So, what else has been going on?

The Good

Second baseman, Johnny Giavotella, continues to show that he is a worthy replacement for fan favorite Howie Kendrick. In 27 games this season, Giavotella is hitting .286/.344/.369 with 5 game winning hits, including the dramatic walk-off double against the Mariners last night. It was the second walk-off in as many nights for the Halos and the first of Giavotella’s young career. The 27-year-old, nicknamed “Donatello” by Erick Aybar, has also shown that he has the skill to handle the demands of the keystone. Giavotella, who has turned 15 double plays this season, has an UZR of 1.6 with an overall WAR of 0.7. (Compare that to Kendrick whose UZR stands -0.7 with a WAR at the same 0.7.)

Another bright spot in an otherwise cloudy season came on Monday when the Angels designated Drew Butera for assignment and called up rookie catching prospect Carlos Perez. Perez, who was hitting .361/.418/.556 with 2 HR and 12 RBI through 17 games with the Salt Lake Bees, made an immediate impact in his first game with the Halos on Tuesday night. The 24-year-old Venezuelan went 2-for-4 with a walk-off homerun in his first major league game.  While this in no way means Mike Scioscia has moved on from Chris Iannetta (we’ll talk more about him later), it is nice to see an injection of dynamic youth into a lineup that has been – to put it lightly – struggling. That being said…

The Bad

This offense needs to wake up. There’s no other way to put it. After 28 games, the Angels sit at 23rd in the majors in runs scored (106), 27th in batting average (.226), 26th in on base percentage (.291), and 27th in slugging (.350). The Halos have only three batters hitting over .250 in tonight’s projected lineup: Calhoun (.301), Trout (.300), and Giavotella (.286). The remaining six players are hitting a combined .193. Albert Pujols has started off slowly, hitting just .240 but adding 5 HR and 12 RBI. Matt Joyce, the supposed replacement for Josh Hamilton, is batting a miserable .148 with 1 HR and an OBP of .195. And Chris Iannetta is hitting a whopping .094 on the season. I’m going to repeat that for you: .094! Iannetta has gone 6-for-64 with 23 strikeouts and 8 walks in 2015. What’s worse, his OBP is down to .192. Compare that to his career OBP of .353 and you’ll really start to see what kind of trouble he’s having at the plate. This drastic decline undoubtedly scares nobody more than GM Jerry Dipoto who acquired Iannetta from Colorado for RHP Tyler Chatwood due to his abilities to call games and get on base. The veteran catcher hasn’t been doing much of either lately, as his offensive woes have clearly had an effect on his psyche and led to several defensive miscues behind the dish. This team is barely treading water. Something needs to change. While I don’t expect Houston to continue to play .643 ball all season, the Halos have little hope of ever catching the division leaders if their bats don’t start to come alive. And come alive fast!

The Ugly

I thought it was all just a lot of talk, that fans were acting tough and wouldn’t really desert the team so early in the season. However, the home attendance over the past few contests has clearly proven me wrong. Last night’s game saw merely 25,160 fans show up to cheer on their hometown team. The numbers for Monday night were even lower, with only 25,024 in attendance. The abysmal turnout for these two games was separated by a Tuesday night contest which saw 33,394 fans arrive to celebrate Cinco de Mayo with the Halos. (Though one could argue that this boost in attendance was merely due to the Angels sombrero giveaway and Guinness World Record attempt.) This isn’t the first time numbers have dropped so low in 2015. Two Thursdays ago, the Angels saw only 24,304 fans come through the turnstiles to see them take on the rival Oakland Athletics. This marked the smallest crowd at Angel Stadium in 12 years. While this might have had something to do with the strange 4 p.m. start time, it doesn’t make up for the fact that the average attendance is down to 34,239 in 2015 from 38,221 in 2014. Where have all the fans gone? Have they really jumped ship already? This reminds all too well of those who booed Josh Hamilton and others during the ALDS last season. The team deserves better. They deserve a fan base willing to show up night in and night out and support their team. A fan base that will cheer and scream and even taunt the players on opposing teams if need be. What they don’t need is a group of bandwagon, fair-weather followers who only support them when they’re in first place or making a push for the playoffs. C’mon, Anaheim! You’re better than that! That goes for the rest of Orange County, too. Don’t be the fans other fans think you are. Don’t prove other fan bases right. Stay loyal. Support your team. And, for god sake, go to a freakin’ game already!

Los Angeles Angels: Where’s The Offense?

LA Angels Insider

Los Angeles Angels: Where's The Offense?

For the millionth season in a row, the Angels are not hitting in April. Surprised? I think the last time this team had a good offense in April was 2004… I think. I’ll have to check that. Right now the Angels are sputtering out of the gates with the bats. However, if one is panicking, which I’m not, there are some facts to assess before jumping ship.

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Los Angeles Angels: Where’s The Offense?

Los Angeles Angels: Where's The Offense?

For the millionth season in a row, the Angels are not hitting in April. Surprised? I think the last time this team had a good offense in April was 2004… I think. I’ll have to check that. Right now the Angels are sputtering out of the gates with the bats. However, if one is panicking, which I’m not, there are some facts to assess before jumping ship.

Continue reading Los Angeles Angels: Where’s The Offense?

Craft Beer at the Big A, 2015

LA Angels Insider

Going to games at the Big A are one of my favorite things to do, besides visit new breweries.  For the past two years, I’ve written about the craft beer offerings at the stadium on my blog.  It’s been great to see a steady increase every year.  Attending the Angels home opener this past Friday was a great opportunity to not only watch a game but also check out the latest craft beer options at the stadium.  

Before I go to any game at the stadium, I first have to visit one of my favorite local breweries, Noble Ale Works, which is located just north of Angel Stadium.  Having a beer at Noble Ale Works before walking over to the game is a great way to support a local brewery before supporting my local baseball team.

As in the past few years, the location with the widest…

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